Safe Havens Rise as the Dollar Dips
28 December 2023
As the year draws to a close, the currency markets are showcasing some intriguing trends, especially with the American dollar's notable correction. Let's delve into the details:
The American dollar is trailing behind as the weakest currency, both yesterday and at the start of Thursday. This trend could potentially define the currency market's closing chapter for the year. On the flip side, the Swiss Franc is displaying robustness, having been the strongest currency yesterday and maintaining its strength today, indicating a shift towards safe-haven currencies, excluding the American dollar.
Remarkably, the EURUSD pair is wrapping up the year near its highest level since the July peak. Concurrently, we're witnessing new long-term lows for the American dollar against the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc.
The indices continue to revel in a bullish phase, with many either at or approaching their long-term highs, reflecting a consistent upward trajectory.
Gold is capitalizing on the American dollar's weakness, currently trading above the crucial $2070 per ounce mark. Silver, however, isn't mirroring gold's performance and is somewhat lagging. Oil presents a contrasting picture, showing signs of a downward trend despite an initial upswing earlier in the week. It appears that oil traders might miss out on what initially seemed like a promising bullish opportunity.
The calendar remains relatively light. The Richmond Manufacturing Index reported a more significant contraction than anticipated, coming in at -11 versus the expected -4. For today, focus shifts to the usual U.S. unemployment claims and pending home sales data, with the latter anticipated to show a 0.8% increase.