Dow Jones attacking a Neckline of a Head and Shoulders Pattern
17 January 2024
The Dow Jones Industrial Average, a beacon of the stock market's strength, is currently at an intriguing juncture. After experiencing robust growth throughout November and December, and continuing its ascent in the first half of January, the index now shows signs that could suggest the beginning of a bearish correction.
What's particularly notable on the Dow Jones chart is the emergence of a head and shoulders pattern, a classic technical indicator often associated with potential reversals. This pattern, highlighted in green, is reaching a critical moment as the index hovers around the neckline, delineated by the red line.
The battle that's unfolding at the neckline is crucial. A downward breach of this red line could trigger a sell signal, ushering in a bearish phase for the index. In such a scenario, the target becomes somewhat clear: the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. This level also coincides with a horizontal support established by the highs seen at the end of July, adding a layer of significance to this potential pivot point.
However, it's not all doom and gloom. Should the Dow Jones manage to defend its position at the neckline, it would effectively invalidate the head and shoulders pattern. Such a development would swing the doors wide open for the index to potentially reach new long-term highs. This outcome would signify not only the resilience of the Dow Jones but also potentially mark the continuation of its bullish trend.