AUDJPY: Breaking Free from the Wedge and Aiming for Monthly Highs
29 August 2023
In the currency markets, the Australian Dollar to Japanese Yen (AUDJPY) pair is capturing attention with its newfound momentum. As we navigate through the latter days of August, the pair is enjoying its loftiest levels since mid-month, presenting traders with an optimistic outlook that defies its recent downtrend.
From mid-June until the middle of August, the pair was mired in a downward trajectory, characterized by a bearish correction. This corrective phase manifested itself as a wedge formation, outlined by red lines on the charts. However, the script began to flip in mid-August, when the price found solid footing. Two crucial factors contributed to this: the long-term uptrend line, illustrated in black, and a key horizontal support at the 92.8 level, highlighted in yellow. Together, they provided the springboard for a bounce that catalyzed a short-to-mid-term bullish signal.
Fast-forward to today, and the AUDJPY is not just sustaining its bounce but amplifying it. The pair is currently breaking through the upper limit of its confining wedge, a move that holds significant technical implications. According to conventional charting wisdom, breaching the upper red line of a wedge typically presages a mid-to-long-term bullish run.
Given the current landscape, the outlook for the AUDJPY pair appears sanguine as long as it remains perched above two key lines—the recently conquered upper red line of the wedge and the long-term black uptrend line. These markers now serve as a dual-layered protective shield against bearish reversals. Thus, for traders eyeing potential upside, the pair's current posture serves as a promising beacon.