Types of divergences
As we have mentioned above, there are several types of divergences such as regular bullish, regular bearish, and hidden divergences. A regular bullish divergence happens when price forms lower lows but the oscillator (for example RSI, MACD) forms higher lows. This indicates that the downward pressure is waning and this pattern frequently appears at key support levels or trendline touches. This is a powerful signal for potential upside reversal and traders should become very alert when bullish divergence appears. Regular bullish divergences are especially effective when confirmed with other indicators or upside breakouts. Traders usually target the next resistance level or previous swing high to take profit targets.
The regular bearish divergence is characterized by price making higher highs while the oscillator indicator makes lower highs, signaling fading buying pressure. This pattern often is a powerful signal that downward movement might occur especially when it appears near resistance zones or chart pattern tops. Waiting for a bearish candlestick pattern or bearish breakout makes this setup even more effective. The profit target is typically at the next price swing or near the next support zone. Traders might also use engulfing candle patterns to confirm bearish divergence entries. Hidden divergences are slightly more difficult to spot. They signal trend continuation by showing price and oscillator matching extremes in opposite directions. Hidden bullish divergence happens when price makes higher lows while the oscillator makes lower lows. If you see this during a pullback from an existing trend, it signals that pullback might be over soon, giving powerful entry signals in the ongoing trend direction. Traders often combine this with support and resistance technical analysis to filter noise and catch large price movements, by policing stops below recent pullback and targeting either predetermined risk-reward ratio or following the price using trailing stops. The hidden bearish divergence happens when price prints lower highs and the oscillator shows higher highs. During corrective rallies, this setup indicates that buyers are probably losing power and it might be a good time to search for sell setups. As we can see, use of divergence can provide important insights about price movements and help traders target highly accurate setups.
How to know when a divergence in forex will occur
Let’s clarify one thing about Forex trading if you do not already know: No one has a crystal ball and no strategy will provide 100% win rate. Instead, experienced traders always think in terms of probabilities and try to find an edge, meaning they either have higher win rate and lower risk-reward or vice versa. If a trader finds good setups and has a 60% win rate with 1:2 risk-reward ratio, they will make more money than a trader who has a higher win rate but 1:1 risk-reward. Proper oscillator configuration and chart analysis are also critical to spot divergences reliably and ensure profitable long-term performance.
Popular indicators and configurations for spotting divergences
The most popular oscillators for divergence trading include RSI (Relative Strength Index), Stochastic oscillator, and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence). Profitable
trading with divergences requires traders to select not only a proper oscillator but also the correct configuration or settings. The default settings can also be used by beginners not to complicate their trading further. Here are default settings for the indicators mentioned above:
- RSI - 14 period
- MACD - 12,26,9
- Stochastic - 14,3,3
These settings ensure the responsiveness and noise reduction for the indicators are optimal across different timeframes.
If you are experienced you can tweak the settings of these indicators to increase or decrease their sensitivity depending on your trading style and strategy.
Best timeframes for divergence trading
There is no single best timeframe for divergence trading, as these setups are useful for almost any timeframe. However, lower timeframes such as 1-minute, 5-minute, 15-minute, and 30-minute will produce lots of noise and false signals, which is not beneficial for beginners. The 1-hour price chart usually offers a balance between the number of signals during trading day and their quality. Another method is to use several oscillators with different settings. One oscillator with lower settings and another with longer periods to ensure the trader also sees the big picture on higher timeframes.
Best assets for divergence trading
There are many assets offered by modern brokers and almost all of them usable for divergence trading. These setups are super powerful and all assets present divergence signals which makes this method very effective. In stock trading as well as currency trading, many experienced traders employ divergence setups to capitalize on market opportunities. Even crypto traders employ popular technical analysis methods, including divergence trading, and BTC is known to respond to support and resistance levels very positively. The best method is to select one asset class and stick to it to master divergence trading on that one asset.
Trading with divergences: Divergence trading strategy development
Knowing how divergence works and how traders use it is one thing but to actually deploy it in markets and make money requires additional steps from the trader. Traders must develop a structured and scientific approach combining precise objective rules, disciplined risk management, and confirming indicators to maximize the edge.
Divergence trading strategy rules
Here are basic rules for divergence trading. Depending on your preferences these rules can be tweaked.
- Identify divergence type - Regular for reversal and hidden for continuation. Ensure to compare price action with oscillator readings to spot divergences accurately.
- Additional confirmations - Use price action or other indicators and ensure they align with the divergence signal for maximum confidence.
- Entry - When the oscillator shows divergence and your signal occurs it is trying to time your entries. Many traders use additional crossover or candlestick patterns for entries which is a good practice as divergence alone will not give accurate entries.
- Stop-loss - One method is to place the stop-loss order just beyond the recent price swing, below for buy orders and above for short positions.
- Take-profit versus trailing stops - Traders either target the next support and resistance zone or use dynamic trailing stop method, depending on their analysis and strategy rules.
Risk management
Although we mentioned stop-loss and take-profit above, we must expand on risk management as it is a cornerstone of financial trading and without strict risk rules it's impossible to stay in the game in the long run. Apart from stop-loss and take-profit orders, another critical part of risk management is position sizing. Position sizes that allow you to risk 1-2% of your total account balance on each trade (stop-loss) ensures you are not losing too much money even after several losing trades in a row. Coupled with a wise position sizing, traders also should familiarize themselves with trailing stops, which can be used to move stop-loss to near newer price swings ensuring to catch the maximum price move. Fixed stop-loss method has its own advantages as it makes it much easier to evaluate your strategy.
Integrating divergence trading strategy with other indicators
Reducing false signals is the number one job of traders and deploying other methods and indicators such as moving average crossovers can provide additional advantage. Some traders might also employ ADX indicators for filtering false signals. For example, a bullish divergence confirmed by a rising 50-period moving average (exponential, EMA) and ADX reading above 25 indicates a higher probability entry in a strong uptrend. When there is a choppy market and ADX is below 20 it is a good idea to avoid trading activities as many false signals are produced during these times.